Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.070812 0.078469 0.086875 0.096834 0.108373 0.121395 0.137307
2024-11-03 0.059551 0.069964 0.082342 0.098336 0.118748 0.144335 0.179510
2024-11-10 0.051908 0.063771 0.078774 0.099572 0.128367 0.167976 0.228762
2024-11-17 0.045863 0.058330 0.074887 0.099183 0.135208 0.188956 0.280233
2024-11-24 0.041789 0.054735 0.072664 0.100332 0.143996 0.214329 0.346351
2024-12-01 0.038582 0.051819 0.070830 0.101498 0.152712 0.241357 0.424975
2024-12-08 0.035888 0.049259 0.069078 0.102339 0.160824 0.269148 0.516392
2024-12-15 0.033411 0.046714 0.066976 0.102178 0.166994 0.294767 0.614933
2024-12-22 0.031049 0.044092 0.064419 0.100799 0.170547 0.315981 0.713760
2024-12-29 0.029667 0.042842 0.063896 0.102833 0.180959 0.354786 0.883337
2025-01-05 0.027790 0.040633 0.061543 0.101182 0.183546 0.376427 1.016423
2025-01-12 0.026584 0.039405 0.060712 0.102241 0.192039 0.415285 1.239346
2025-01-19 0.025171 0.037748 0.059024 0.101506 0.196660 0.446417 1.466759
2025-01-26 0.024204 0.036767 0.058443 0.102911 0.206601 0.496632 1.839427
2025-02-02 0.023296 0.035816 0.057820 0.104140 0.216443 0.551113 2.319514
2025-02-09 0.022250 0.034547 0.056492 0.103693 0.221976 0.594470 2.817903
2025-02-16 0.021496 0.033739 0.055957 0.104899 0.232199 0.659532 3.623071
2025-02-23 0.020804 0.032991 0.055465 0.106130 0.242839 0.732470 4.729750
2025-03-02 0.020127 0.032221 0.054861 0.107020 0.252776 0.809059 6.205561
2025-03-09 0.019389 0.031293 0.053863 0.106847 0.259533 0.876643 7.956856
2025-03-16 0.018577 0.030179 0.052404 0.105383 0.261967 0.926164 9.795339
2025-03-23 0.018167 0.029795 0.052409 0.107542 0.276782 1.050023 14.371975
2025-03-30 0.017428 0.028742 0.050940 0.105790 0.278025 1.101803 17.961886